Block the FUD and HODL in a down crypto market

Investing and trading cryptocurrencies is almost entirely speculative as the technology is still quite young and there are no widely accepted and reliable valuation metrics to use for valuing coins as investments.

Therefore it is highly psychological and emotional for some people. For these reasons, the high volatility and fear-greed cycles continue to drive investor decisions to buy & sell in ways which, to put it lightly, are against their best interests.

It’s human nature to listen to FEAR, UNCERTAINTY, and DOUBT (FUD) in order to protect your investments. In fact, it is a protective mechanism for you to pay attention to FUD. For long-term success in the crypto space, you will need to learn to block the FUD and HODL in a down crypto market.

FUD comes in various forms and affects some more than others; both coins and their investors.

Primary Examples of Crypto FUD (Macro-Level):

  • Government regulation and bans on crypto in general
  • Exchange hacks and other “mishaps” on exchanges
  • Negative mainstream media reports

Secondary Examples of Crypto FUD (Specific):

  • Missed Goals/Roadmap targets and deadlines
  • Partnerships falling through
  • False rumors & disinformation
  • Negativity about dev teams and founders
  • Misleading technical analysis

While it’s true that technical analysis is a valuable tool in crypto investing and trading, if there is big negative news, the FUD Factor will kick into effect and trump any T/A indicator traders are looking for and all the price analysis goes out the window for a massive dump.

If you find yourself in one of these situations holding the bag on a coin with a plummeting price, it’s almost always best to hold and wait for the volatility to blow over. Eventually, prices will consolidate and you will have a better opportunity to make a rational decision more in-line with your original plan of investment.

Always Have a Plan and Stick to it

You should always have a plan and goal for your investment portfolio as a whole, and what role each position plays in the overall portfolio.

Your plan does not need to be stringent enough to prevent any flexibility to adapt to new market conditions and capitalize on them, but it should cover the basics as to when you will take profits, whether based on the value or on a time horizon.

Having such a plan will prevent you from making bad short-term decisions when the FUD kicks in. By sticking to your plan, you make only rational decisions and wait patiently for your milestones on the longer time horizon.

We Can HODL Here – A Tip for Short-Term Thinkers

More seasoned investors tend to handle volatility much better than newbies. If you have a problem handling the short-term fluctuations you may need to work on tricking yourself into thinking long-term.

The “We Can HODL Here” Meme

If you use your imagination, how different would you feel if you could skip past countless days of impulsively checking coinmarketcap and blockfolio and find enormous gains without expending any mental or emotional energy deciding whether to panic sell or not?

At the end of the day, HODLing is a decision only made easier by the passing of time. Impatience is what causes people to screw up and give into FUD.

Was Selling Low Part of Your Plan?

I have a personal friend who recently consulted with me about selling off their crypto holdings, or more accurately, all the surplus capital in excess of what they had originally invested.

This person came to me for advice, on the basis of what they believed to be a rational thing to do. Here is an outline of the jist of the dialogue:

hodl: Why do you want to sell?

friend: Well.. I’m not ready to sit through a multi-year bear market

hodl: Now is a very bad time to sell. Do you truly believe we will see a multi-year bear market?

friend: I have no idea, i’ve been hearing [ABC..XYZ FUD] what do you think?

hodl: Absolutely not, there is no chance in my realm of possibilities we will see a multi-year crypto bear market.

friend: Well, what are you going to do?

hodl: I have no intention to “cash out” any of my holdings until 2020. At this point I will take a look at things and make some decisions. Did you have a plan for cashing out?

friend: Not exactly, but you believe in this much more than I do, and I’m just not sure where I see this going.

hodl: The truth is we should have all taken profits in December, but none of us did. We all suffered from recency bias and got caught up in the greed and hype. Was your plan to sell low?

friend: Lol, of course not.

hodl: Then you should ride this out and decide what level of risk and exposure you’re willing to deal with. Wait for this bear cycle to end, and if you still feel over-exposed, which obviously you do now, then take some out.

The Moral of the Story

Always have a plan and a goal to look forward to. During times like these, we really need to be able to “keep our eyes on the prize” and not give in to panic and FUD.

Panic selling, and considerations of panic selling are done so because you are thinking your situation may not improve or advance further. Therefore, you are retreating.

Don’t retreat – the battle is far from over, and crypto will prevail. I encourage anyone reading this to ignore the FUD despite the fear you may be experiencing.

Design available on prints, accessories, and apparel at the hodl art shop

Block the FUD
Block the FUD

Hold OFor Dear Life

IOTA: Pushing through the FUD to dominate the Internet of Things

IOTA, currently the #10 largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has been withstanding a barrage of bad press and FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) over recent months.

IOTA coinmarketcap

There are a number of reasons for the FUD surrounding the IOTA project, so let’s go over them.

1) Problems with the IOTA Wallet

Bitcoin.com released an article about a month ago titled “IOTA Attacked for Subpar Wallet Security Following $4m Hack”. This title alone is a FUD-bomb.

What’s interesting to note, is that this is the ONLY article about IOTA on Bitcoin.com. Can you say “Conflict of Interest”?

As IOTA is potentially one of the largest long-term competitors to Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, it’s safe to say these journalists have some sort of bias towards IOTA’s success.

Debunking the Bitcoin.com FUD

Neither the wallet nor the Tangle (IOTA’s ledger) are in any way at risk — people lost their money because they used phishy internet sites to create their seed for IOTA’s wallet.

Although IOTA’s tech is in no way at fault for the investor losses, it is true that it would have been better if the wallets generated their own seeds for users.

In the latest update, the IOTA Wallet now displays a warning for users to not use online seed generators.

IOTA Don't use online seed generator

As an actual user of the IOTA Light Wallet myself, I have to say it is one of the worst user experiences out of many different wallets I’ve used for different coins.

Overview of the Light Wallet

You can download the latest versions of the IOTA Light Wallet here at their github for Windows, Mac, etc. You must install the wallet to your computer and generate an 81-character seed with only the letters A-Z and the number 9.

Why they excluded the other eight numbers is beyond me, but an 81 character seed with 27 options for each character is still strong. There are 80 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000* possible combinations for an IOTA seed.

(*combinations calculation corrected thanks to u/bambinka)

Once installed, here is what the light wallet looks like once you’re inside.

IOTA Wallet

If you’d like to send IOTA from an exchange like Binance to the wallet, you’ll need to click the “Receive” button and generate an address to attach to the tangle.

Attach to Tangle

To receive IOTA in the light wallet, you simply attach the generated address to tangle by clicking the purple button and copy this address over to your exchange wallet to send the funds. Simple enough.

Light Wallet Updates and Disappearing IOTA Balances

Now here’s where things get a bit hairy for the IOTA Light Wallet. Whenever you update your wallet, you need to reattach all of your addresses to a new node on the tangle.

Upon opening an updated IOTA Light Wallet, many users are stricken with panick when they see their zero balances.

If you sent IOTA in separate amounts to your wallet, for example ten times, you will need to reattach each of those ten addresses and you will see your IOTA balances trickle in as you labor through the process.

Aside from the inconveniences, the IOTA wallets have never been attacked or compromised in any way.

2) The MIT DCI  Report

dci-vs-iota

Back in December there was major FUD about a report put out by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Digital Currency Initiative (DCI).

On Friday, MIT Technology Review published an article on the cryptocurrency IOTA. The headline stated that the currency “could outperform Bitcoin.” However, we here at the MIT Media Lab have issues with the story. Specifically, my colleagues in the Digital Currency Initiative (DCI) recently uncovered a gaping hole in IOTA’s software. And while that flaw has now been patched, we certainly disagree with reporter Michael Orcutt’s assertion that IOTA is “secure.” As the Director of the MIT Media Lab, I felt it important we outline our specific concerns. 

One of the main attacks against IOTA in this DCI report was that IOTA’s high-profile business relationships, such as Microsoft are “nebulous”.

The partnership with Microsoft was super hyped in the media. However this was not IOTA’s doing. Microsoft clarified that this was not IOTA’s mistake and used the term “partner” themselves.

 Microsoft partnered with IOTA

3) IOTA is not “tamper-proof” because it uses a centralized coordinator

The function of the central coordinator in early stages of the IOTA network was transparently communicated since day 1.

The IOTA team has explained that the coordinator is a temporary measure to bootstrap and protect the network during its infancy.

Once there are enough full nodes and transactions to secure and sustain the IOTA network, the coordinator will be removed.

4) IOTA’s hash function is vulnerable to attacks

The DCI’s attempt in creating a vulnerability is extemely unlikely, because the DCI group’s theoretical situation considers the victim is:

(a) BOTH dumb enough to follow obviously malicious instructions from an unknown attacker AND capable enough of coding IOTA transactions by hand

OR

(b) Dumb enough to enter their seed into a malicious piece of software provided by the attacker.. if you give someone your seed for ANYTHING, you’re screwed.

When confronted about the practicality of the attack, DCI decided to mislead the public into believing the IOTA network had a vulnerability, rather than address the practicality issue.

It’s also important to note, before giving any major weight to what is said from an organization attached to the MIT brand, that DCI is only very loosely associated with MIT.

MIT’s DCI: A group of academic fraudsters and Zcash shills?

DCI is kind of like a student club within a school. They don’t represent the official views of MIT.

What they actually accomplished with the IOTA report was academic fraud.
  • They presented a “vulnerability” using a scenario that is ridiculously unlikely.
  • They also refused to release the code as proof to the IOTA foundation.
You might wonder why DCI engaged in such academic fraud? Conflict-of-interest.
  • The researchers are involved in competing projects like ZCash
  • DCI gets funding from Bitcoin Club. 

IOTA: Pushing through the FUD towards dominance

Although the devs at IOTA are totally surprised that IOTA has met so much opposition, they are focused on moving the project forward to realize IOTA’s vision.

IOTA’s technology enables companies to explore new business-2-business models by making every technological resource a potential service to be traded on an open market in real time, with no fees.

IOTA is building a strong network of business partners

While some still try to discredit ’s research and development, those with a keen eye for what makes businesses succeed can see what the future has in store for IOTA. The IOTA Volkswagen Partnership is one example.

People tend to forget that VW is the biggest car company in the world. Here’s their portfolio of brands to remind you what we’re talking about here.

vw-brands

Volkswagen is the biggest car company in the world with a market cap of over $80 Billion USD. They manufacture over 10 million cars per year, that may well be suited with IOTA tech one day soon.

This is from the main stage at Bosch Connected World.

Volkwagen cooperation with iota

The city of Taipei partnering with IOTA to adopt the technology is also major news for the project.

 Conclusion: making sense of the FUD

Some coins and their development teams consider IOTA a real threat (why else would a BTC developer or LTC founder post such tweets?). Don’t underestimate the power of FUD. It’s a very powerful way to cast doubt on projects.

The people who do see IOTA’s potential want to buy as cheap as possible so they do what they can to bring the price down, including spreading FUD.

IOTA produces it’s own type of FUD with its disruptive potential

FEAR from those who do understand IOTA’s potential to impact their interests in other projects.

UNCERTAINTY because if IOTA succeeds, they may be poorly positioned.

DOUBT from those who believe they have safely invested in other coins but can see IOTA winning the race for IoT dominance.

For more on what IOTA is and how it works,  check out the iota foundation blog and the  whitepaper

IOTA DECENTRALISED INTERNET OF THINGS TOKEN
IOTA | Hold on For Dear Life T shirt on artist shop

Always DYour Own Research.

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